YTD NAV return: -17.5%
107 holdings · as of July 24, 2026Official fund data →MRTNZ Investment Office · Theme 360
The SaaS Trade
Cash flow before narrative. Find the software opportunity now—and next.
Recurring revenue still matters. The next winners must pair durable growth with cash generation—and prove AI expands customer value before it compresses seats.
Benchmark tape
Software is already in a reset.
IGV captures the broad North American software complex. WCLD leans toward emerging cloud software. Their current fact sheets frame a very different risk profile from the megacap indexes.
1-year NAV return: -11.3%
64 holdings · as of July 27, 2026Official fund data →The 360 vantage
AI does not kill SaaS. It changes who gets paid.
The old playbook rewarded recurring revenue almost indiscriminately. The new one asks whether software owns the workflow, captures usage, expands cash flow, and survives platform bundling.
The opportunity map
Quality on one axis. Price on the other.
Use the lenses to separate efficient compounders, AI monetization candidates, and reset setups. Select any company for the exact inputs and invalidation risk.
Database, applications, and AI cloud. Risk: Financing intensity and backlog conversion are the key proof points.
- Revenue growth
- +17.3%
- OCF margin
- 47.5%
- Cash-growth
- 64.8
- Price / sales*
- 5.1×
- Street upside
- +116.5%
*Equity market value divided by latest annual revenue—not enterprise value. Cash-growth is annual revenue growth plus operating-cash-flow margin, a screening proxy rather than a reported KPI. Median lines use this 28-name universe.
Software stack
Where durable value can accrue
Six clusters, six different paths to pricing power. Counts reflect this curated 28-name universe.
Platforms
Distribution, installed base, and bundled AI can compound—if new revenue outruns the cost of the stack.
Capital intensity and suite bundling.Workflow
Systems of record become systems of action when agents improve expansion, price, or labor economics.
Seat compression and slow enterprise cycles.Data + Dev
The application layer still needs data, observability, delivery, and developer control planes.
Consumption volatility and platform competition.Security
Threat growth and vendor consolidation sustain demand, but premium pricing requires clean execution.
Crowded multiples and suite convergence.Vertical
Domain depth and embedded workflows defend pricing where horizontal copilots are easiest to copy.
End-market concentration.SMB + Growth
The sharpest resets can create upside, but customer health and efficient acquisition must prove durable.
Cyclicality and weaker retention.Opportunity board
Best product ≠ best setup
The score combines 25% reported quality, 20% AI readiness, 20% Street setup, 20% price dislocation, and 15% valuation.
28 names · ranked by MRTNZ SaaS opportunity score
Top five now
The current research queue
These are screen leaders, not buy instructions. Recheck earnings, valuation, and company-specific invalidation before any position decision.
ORCL
91.8Database, applications, and AI cloud. Latest annual revenue growth: +17.3%.
- Price
- $120
- Cash-growth
- 64.8
- Equity / sales
- 5.1×
INTU
85.1Financial workflow software. Latest annual revenue growth: +15.6%.
- Price
- $313
- Cash-growth
- 48.6
- Equity / sales
- 4.5×
NOW
85.0Enterprise workflow agents. Latest annual revenue growth: +20.9%.
- Price
- $111
- Cash-growth
- 61.9
- Equity / sales
- 8.6×
ZS
83.1Zero-trust cloud security. Latest annual revenue growth: +23.3%.
- Price
- $152
- Cash-growth
- 59.7
- Equity / sales
- 9.2×
TEAM
82.6Developer and collaboration workflows. Latest annual revenue growth: +19.7%.
- Price
- $101
- Cash-growth
- 47.7
- Equity / sales
- 4.9×
Opportunity sequence
Where the trade moves next
Promote software only when reported economics confirm the narrative.
- NowOwn efficient distribution
Favor vendors with durable growth, strong cash conversion, and reasonable revenue multiples.
- NextPromote AI proof
Reward usage, retention, and separately monetized agents—not launch volume.
- ThenBuy the reset selectively
Move down-cap only when customer health and sales efficiency stabilize together.
- RiskWatch seat compression
Bundling and automation can reduce seats before vendors perfect usage-based pricing.
12–24 month framework
Three paths through the reset
MRTNZ scenarios—not Street forecasts or price targets.
AI expands the wallet
Agents earn separate budgets, usage accelerates, and the best vendors pair reacceleration with operating leverage.
Proof before re-rating
Cash-generative leaders outperform while the market rewards AI only when retention, growth, or margins measurably improve.
Seats compress first
Bundling and automation reduce user counts before usage pricing matures, extending the multiple reset across weaker vendors.
Method
Facts first. Judgment labeled.
Market facts use the current Nasdaq coverage snapshot and latest reported annual financials.
Cash-growth is annual revenue growth plus operating-cash-flow margin. It is a screening proxy, not issuer-reported Rule of 40.
Valuation is equity market value divided by latest annual revenue, not enterprise value or forward revenue.
Benchmark facts come directly from iShares and WisdomTree. Scores and sequence are MRTNZ judgment.
Refresh cadence follows the Market 360 pipeline at open, midday, and close.